College football picks, schedule: predictions vs. spread, odds for top 25 games in Week 11

College football picks, schedule: predictions vs. spread, odds for top 25 games in Week 11

With three weeks left in the 2022 regular season in college football, divisional races are heating up in leagues across the country, conference championship pictures are becoming clearer and the teams that can legitimately make the College Football Playoff are getting fewer and fewer every Saturday. That’s the case again in Week 11, with several top-25 showings set to explain these scenarios.

The most notable matchups come from the SEC, where No. 7 LSU will be hoping to not take a step back from a thrilling overtime win against Alabama when they travel to Arkansas. Although the Tigers have suddenly become the talk of the town under coach Brian Kelly in Grade 1, their impact on the SEC in Western Europe is weak. LSU needs a win (likely against No. 1 Georgia) to earn a spot in the SEC Championship Game, and that starts with avoiding an Arkansas team that can play with anyone.

As for the No. 9 Crimson Tide, barring an absolute miracle, their SEC and CFP hopes were dashed. That’s not the case for No. 11 Ole Miss, which hosts Alabama in the SEC Game of the Week on CBS, with Rebels coach Lane Kiffin looking to get their first win under Nick Saban. Unlike the Tide, the Rebels have a chance to win the SEC West. Ole Miss needs to beat Alabama to put itself in position, though LSU will need to get the L by the end of the regular season.

Saturday night is a big Big 12 matchup as newly seeded No. 4 TCU travels to No. 18 Texas for its toughest challenge in three weeks. The Longhorns played much better in the second half of the season, and with former Horned Frogs coach Gary Patterson as an analyst, they will know what TCU brings to the table. If the Frogs can get past the Horns, only Baylor and Iowa State will be left as TCU will clinch a playoff spot.

Stay tuned to CBS Sports all day college football coverage from opening. Let’s take a look at our expert picks for the best games of Week 11.

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook | Eastern at all times

No. 9 Alabama at No. 11 Ole Miss

Favorite game | Ole Miss Rebels and Alabama Crimson Tide

15:30 | CBS, CBSSports.com, The CBS Sports appTake Ole Miss and the points, but you don’t need them because the Rebels are winning this game. The Rebels’ multi-dimensional offense finds success early, drawing Alabama defenders into the box and Jackson Dart making shots from the top. Meanwhile, the Ole Miss defense will have enough success getting pressure to put Alabama behind the sticks. That’s bad news for an Alabama team that hasn’t been crisp on the road. Prediction: Ole Miss +12 — Barrett Sally

No. 1 Georgia at Mississippi State

Favorite game | Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Georgia Bulldogs

19.00 | ESPN, fuboTV (Try it for free) — Mississippi State has failed to overcome the spread in three games, while Georgia appears to have reached its peak in the most important part of the season. Georgia’s defense performed at an even higher level Alabama, and the Crimson Tide was able to tape the shutout of this year’s Mississippi State offense. I think the Bulldogs based in Athens can do the same. Forecast: Georgia -16 — Chip Patterson

No. 4 TCU at No. 18 Texas

Favorite game | Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs

19:30 | ABC, fuboTV (Try it for free) — Thanks to a close game against Alabama and Oklahoma losing the ball at quarterback, the Longhorns are rated well in most analytics systems. However, the Longhorns also have losses Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, along with a close game vs Iowa State. One of these teams knows how to finish games and it’s the boys in purple. Prediction: TCU +7 — Jeyaraja

Missouri at No. 5 Tennessee

In the afternoon | CBS, CBSSports.com, The CBS Sports appExcept for the lopsided 40-12 loss Kansas State Missouri’s defense was good in Week 2. Even in that game, the Tigers allowed just 336 total yards as they were hampered by a 4-to-1 deficit in turnover margin. Missouri’s last seven games have ended within that spread, and the Tigers should be able to keep things respectable here again. Missouri ranks 100th nationally in turnover margin, but that will have to change at some point. As long as the Tigers keep their turnover woes in check, they will keep the game close. Prediction: Missouri +21 — David Cobb

#7 LSU at Arkansas

In the afternoon | ESPN, fuboTV (Try it for free) — A road loss against a talented opponent is a natural trap game possibility, but KJ Jefferson’s status makes the upset possible. LSU has played inspiring football since its first loss Tennessee and State of Floridaand there’s no reason to expect a Brian Kelly-coached team not to play good, fundamental football in a critical game with CFP hopes. Prediction: LSU -3 — Shehan Jeyarajah

What college football picks can you make in Week 11, and which top-25 teams will be tough? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a proven computer model that has made nearly $3,000 in profits over the past six seasons — and find out.

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